Step One:
If I drink, I might never stop. This condition is progressive, fatal, and incurable. The only thing that could make me drink is my mind. If my mind is in my hands, I will drink. If it is in God's hands, I won't.
Where does all the other crap going on my life fit into this?
It's a sign that my mind is in my hands, not God's hands.
It's a sign that I am at risk.